Good morning, Trader.

Liquidity hunts stop losses before it delivers the real move.

Au

XAUUSD

Bullish

Gold

48Edge
Edge Factor

Bias up but regime is chop. Wait for a clean break of 2,662 or fade extremes only.

2,640.81
+0.77%
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Middle East tensions reignite safe-haven demand for gold despite tentative US-Iran talks. Hawkish Fed and sticky 3.8% CPI cap upside above 2,680 — directional trade needs a break of the 2,648–2,662 range.

Bias
BULLISH
Directional view for the session
64%
Low convictionHigh conviction

Safe-haven flows + soft real yields support upside. Capped under 2,680 by hawkish Fed.

Regime
RANGING
Sideways chop — no trend
WeakTrend strengthStrong

Coiling 2,648 – 2,662. ADX 18, no directional trend on H4.

Volatility
LOW
Compressed — wait for expansion
DLNHE

ATR 8.4 · $14 range. Compressed — breakout building.

Market Sentiment
Mixed

Investor Positioning

Risk appetite mixed but gold gains traction as safe-haven demand stays elevated.

In plain englishInvestors split — some chasing risk, some hedging with gold.
Policy Backdrop
HAWKISH

Fed Policy Backdrop

US CPI sticky at 3.8%. Fed officials lean against early cuts; real yields elevated.

In plain englishCentral banks still leaning tight — that's a headwind for gold rallies.
News Stories
cnn.com logo
cnn.com·29m ago

Ukraine hit by large-scale Russian attacks

Russia launched a large-scale deadly attack on Kyiv early Tuesday…

livemint.com logo
livemint.com·41m ago

American team in Delhi, 4-day trade talks begin

India and US begin crucial trade talks aiming to finalise an interim deal.

reuters.com logo
reuters.com·1h ago

Gold ETFs see 3rd straight day of inflows

Spot-gold ETFs added 2.4 tonnes on Monday.

Economic CalendarHigh impact · USD
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